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Emily Stone



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    MA 18 - Global Tobacco Control and Epidemiology II (ID 676)

    • Event: WCLC 2017
    • Type: Mini Oral
    • Track: Epidemiology/Primary Prevention/Tobacco Control and Cessation
    • Presentations: 1
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      MA 18.05 - Discussant - MA 18.01, MA 18.02, MA 18.03, MA 18.04 (ID 10789)

      16:05 - 16:20  |  Presenting Author(s): Emily Stone

      • Abstract
      • Presentation
      • Slides

      Abstract not provided

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    MS 09 - Global Perspectives in Eliminating the Major Cause of Lung Cancer (ID 531)

    • Event: WCLC 2017
    • Type: Mini Symposium
    • Track: Epidemiology/Primary Prevention/Tobacco Control and Cessation
    • Presentations: 1
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      MS 09.01 - Global Tobacco Control (ID 7682)

      15:45 - 16:00  |  Presenting Author(s): Emily Stone

      • Abstract
      • Presentation
      • Slides

      Abstract:
      The history of global tobacco control starts at the beginning of the twentieth century with early data linking the smoking of tobacco with the risk of lung cancer, a previously rare disease. The build up of scientific evidence for the link gained pace toward the middle of century when landmark publications brought more widespread recognition of the phenomenon[1][,][2]. The pivotal US Surgeon General Report from 1964 gave a clear message that tobacco smoking was unequivocally associated with an increased risk of developing lung cancer[3]. Over the following decades the paradigm of tobacco control recognizable today culminated in the development the first global public health treaty, the World Health Organization Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (WHO FCTC), which came into force in 2005 and currently lists 181 countries as Parties to the Convention[4]. In 2008, the FCTC launched the MPOWER measures (Table 1.), six steps proven to lead to reduction in tobacco use around the world[5] and that provide the ability to benchmark the effects of tobacco control strategies between countries[6]. In countries with robust implementation, these measures have achieved what may have once been unthinkable, the saving of millions of lives[6] and the reduction in smoking rates to historic post-WWII lows[6]. There have been enormous benefits, with a reduction in cigarette consumption, altered rates of disease and a reduction in smoking uptake. But the inconsistencies in regulation and in MPOWER implementation around the world have led to problems with the shifting of tobacco industry efforts to the developing world[7], the targeting of vulnerable groups for new market share[7] and the entrenchment, in some countries, of the tobacco industry in the halls of government. New threats to global tobacco control are starting to appear from the impacts of globalization of trade[7], newer products whether “low-harm” or otherwise and from focused, covert attacks by the tobacco industry itself. This presentation aims to review the development and impact of current tobacco control policy, to examine emerging threats to tobacco control, to focus on evasive manoeuvres of the globalizing tobacco industry and to discuss possible future tobacco control strategies that these developments will require. Over the last half century the tobacco industry in the developed world has become globalized. Four companies have come to dominate the global tobacco trade, Philip Morris International, British American Tobacco, Japan Tobacco International and Imperial Tobacco[8]. This has given companies such as PMI the economic clout to oppose, delay and threaten tobacco control strategies such as plain packaging and smoking bans[9]. The tobacco industry in Asia, a region of the world with very high smoking rates, is heading towards globalization. Companies such as Korean Tobacco and Ginseng (KT&G) and the China National Tobacco Corporation (CNTC) have developed foreign exports with government support[8] and have strengthened their domestic operations with consolidation and restructuring[8]. New global tobacco players have the potential to generate new competition, innovation and price reduction, all with detrimental impacts on public health[8]. The development of “low-harm” products such as electronic nicotine delivery systems (ENDS), including e-cigarettes, has opened new frontiers in regulatory control with concerns that such products may open new developed world markets for tobacco companies that otherwise continue to sell tobacco cigarettes in low and middle-income countries[7]. Tobacco companies use international trade relations to oppose the implementation of tobacco control measures; in the fight against plain packaging in Australia, the tobacco industry invoked trade treaties and the possibility of unfair trade restrictions. The tobacco industry holds to a culture of political sabotage that includes infiltration of government by lobbyists and open recognition of the value of political skills in undermining public health initiatives in tobacco control All of these developments call for a modernization of the tobacco control paradigm. This may include financial pressures such as disinvestment in the tobacco industry by pension funds[10], staunch regulatory approaches to ENDS and perhaps the development of finely honed political skills to match or surpass those of the tobacco industry. Even creative approaches to the dissemination of data, such as maps showing countries moving towards plain packaging or graphical presentation of the country-by-country distribution of tobacco factories may help inform the community and subvert the newer “low-harm” messages of the large tobacco companies. Many successes over many years can be attributed to traditional tobacco control, the emphasis on the science and the FCTC and MPOWER measures. However, the tobacco industry has very strong drive for survival with multiple strategies for evasion of control. The scientific arguments are irrefutable but are not enough to overcome an industry prepared to either deny the science, to ignore it while developing market share where regulations are weak or to espouse overt evasion techniques in company documents. MPOWER is no longer enough as the opposition does not play by the rules. Effective long-term global tobacco control will need to draw upon many resources including scientific evidence, economic pressure, the ability to avoid distractions and delaying tactics, resolute evaluation and regulation of ENDS and, ultimately, political dexterity in dealing with an industry prepared to do just about anything to maintain profit.

      Table 1. MPOWER Measures
      MPOWER Measures
      Monitoring tobacco use and prevention policies Protecting people from tobacco smoke Offering help to quite tobacco use Warning about the dangers of tobacco Enforcing bans on tobacco advertising, promotion and sponsorship Raising tobacco taxes
      References 1. Wynder EL, Graham EA. . Bull World Health Organ 2005;83(2):146–53. 2. Doll R, Hill AB. Bull World Health Organ 1999;77(1):84–93. 3. Health USSGAC on S and, General USPHSO of the S. Smoking and Health. http://profiles.nlm.nih.gov/NN/B/B/M/Q/ 4. United Nations Treaty Collection https://treaties.un.org/pages/ViewDetails.aspx?src=TREATY&mtdsg_no=IX-4&chapter=9&clang=_en 5. WHO | MPOWER [Internet]. WHO. [cited 2015 Jun 1];: http://www.who.int/tobacco/mpower/en/ 6. Levy DT, Yuan Z, Luo Y, Mays D. Tob Control 2016;tobaccocontrol-2016-053381. 7. Gilmore AB, Fooks G, Drope J, Bialous SA, Jackson RR. Lancet Lond Engl 2015;385(9972):1029–43. 8. Lee K, Eckhardt J. Glob Public Health 2017;12(3):367–79. 9. Peeters S, Costa H, Stuckler D, McKee M, Gilmore AB. Tob Control 2016;25(1):108–17. 10. Tobacco Free Portfolios http://www.tobaccofreeportfolios.org/

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    P1.04 - Clinical Design, Statistics and Clinical Trials (ID 690)

    • Event: WCLC 2017
    • Type: Poster Session with Presenters Present
    • Track: Clinical Design, Statistics and Clinical Trials
    • Presentations: 1
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      P1.04-003 - The International Lung Screen Trial: A Multi-Centre Study to Evaluate LDCT Screening Selection Criteria and Nodule Management (ID 8141)

      09:30 - 09:30  |  Author(s): Emily Stone

      • Abstract
      • Slides

      Background:
      There remain important knowledge gaps surrounding the optimal selection criteria of high-risk individuals for low-dose CT (LDCT) screening for lung cancer and the optimal management of screening-detected pulmonary nodules. The International Lung Screen Trial (ILST) is an international, multi-centre prospective cohort study with recruitment sites in Canada and Australia. The rationale and design for the study are presented here. The PLCO~m2012~ risk prediction model[1] may have higher sensitivity and positive predictive value in identifying individuals who develop lung cancer compared to the United States Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) criteria. The PanCan model[2] calculates malignancy probability in screen-detected nodules and provides a risk-based approach to managing pulmonary nodules. Both models will be prospectively tested in this study. Primary aims: (a) to define the optimal selection criteria for LDCT screening, (b) to evaluate pulmonary nodule management using the PanCan nodule risk calculator.

      Method:
      We aim to recruit 4,000 high-risk individuals with 5 years follow up. Eligible participants are current or former smokers, aged 55-80 years, with a PLCO~m2012~ lung cancer risk of ≥1.51% over 6 years or USPSTF criteria (age as above, plus ≥30 pack year history of smoking and smoking cessation <15 years ago). Exclusion criteria include: symptoms suspicious of lung cancer, severe co-morbidity, previous lung cancer and chest CT within the last 2 years. Baseline assessment includes interview, smoking status assessment and pulmonary function testing. Eligible individuals are offered a baseline screening LDCT and subsequent interval surveillance LDCTs dependent on the PanCan risk score. Participants with no nodules or nodule risk score of <1.5% will have biennial LDCT screening. Participants with nodule malignancy risk score ≥10%, or significant growth in subsequent scan will be considered suspicious for lung cancer and undergo clinical review for further investigation. The primary outcome is the proportion of lung cancers detected by either selection criteria. Secondary outcomes include: number needed to screen, cancer detection rate, lung cancer mortality, cancer stage distribution, resection rate, number of interval cancers, recall rate, invasive procedure rate, benign biopsy/surgery rate, screening-related adverse events and comprehensive healthcare economic evaluation.

      Result:
      This study is currently in its recruitment phase. Results will be reported in future conferences and peer-reviewed publications.

      Conclusion:
      The ILST trial will provide a clearer understanding on the optimum selection criteria for LDCT screening for lung cancer and prospective validation of the PanCan model. ClinicalTrials.gov number: NCT02871856 References: Tammemägi MC et al (2013). NEJM; 368:728-736. McWilliams A et al (2013). NEJM; 369:910-919.

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