Author of

• 11890

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  P2.19 - Poster Session 2 - Imaging (ID 180)

  • Event: WCLC 2013
  • Type: Poster Session
  • Track: Imaging, Staging & Screening
  • Presentations: 1
  • Moderators:
  • Coordinates: 10/29/2013, 09:30 - 16:30, Exhibit Hall, Ground Level

  • 11900

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    P2.19-010 - The association between baseline clinical-radiological characteristics and growth of pulmonary nodules with ground-glass opacity (ID 1729)

    09:30 - 09:30  |  Author(s): G.A. Deshpande
    • Abstract

    Background
    Pulmonary nodules with ground-glass opacity (GGO) are frequently encountered. We previously reported that, based on natural history of 108 pulmonary nodules that were 3 cm or less and had 50 % or more GGO component, these nodules should be followed for at least 3 years to accurately evaluate lesion growth. However, it remains unclear whether all GGOs should be followed for as long as 3 years. To establish reasonable follow-up plan, it would be useful to if we could predict which of GGO lesions tend to grow by any of clinical-radiographic characteristics. The purpose of this study was to clarify which baseline clinical and radiological characteristics were associated with growth of these nodules.

    Methods
    We retrospectively studied patients between 1999 and 2013 with pulmonary nodules that met the following criteria: (1) lesion diameter of ≤ 3 cm, (2) GGO proportion of ≥ 50%, and (3) observation without treatment in the prior 6 months. We evaluated the changes in lesion size on serial computed tomography. Two endpoints, “Time to 2-mm growth” and “2-mm growth incidence”, were analyzed using Cox proportional hazards and logistic regression models, respectively.Variables for univariate analysis were as follows: age; gender; smoking history; past history of lung cancer; lesion multiplicity; lesion diameter; and solid proportion. Factors for which p-value was < 0.05 in univariate analysis, as well as past history of lung cancer which was reported as a predictor in previous reports, were included in multivariate analysis. To strictly define “no growth”, we excluded lesions which had been observed for less than 3 years in logistic regression analyses.

    Results
    120 pulmonary lesions in 67 patients fulfilled inclusion criteria. At the median observation period of 4.2 years, 34 lesions had become larger by 2mm or more, whereas the remaining 86 had persisted without changing in size. Smoking history and initial lesion diameter were statistically significant in both regression and time-to-event analyses. In terms of time to 2mm growth, hazard ratio (HR) for smoking history was 3.67 (P < 0.01). Compared to those ≤ 1 cm, HRs for 1.1–2 cm and 21-3 cm lesions were 2.23 (P = 0.08) and 5.08 (P = 0.04), respectively. In contrast, odds ratio (OR) for the likelihood of 2mm growth for smoking history was 6.51 (P < 0.01), and OR for lesion diameter of 1.1–3 cm in comparison to ≤ 1 cm was 4.06 (P = 0.02).

    Conclusion
    Smoking history and initial lesion diameter are significantly associated with the growth of these nodules. These results suggested that closer follow up of larger size GGO in smoking patients be recommended.